In my opinion, the market still has some way to go below its current values. Market participants are still wary of getting back into the market. And with middle-class working people burned by the stock market's dive, it's going to be a lot harder to convince them to get back into the market.
As grim as the situation is at the moment, I think the Dow Jones Industrials (which is a major stock market indicator) could reach 6000 points at the lowest, and then bounce back from there. The new adminitration's programs will probably take 6 months to a year before we can start seeing any difference on Main Street. With that said, I think the economy will start to recover in the first quarter of 2010 at the earliest, or second half of 2010 at the latest.
Sunday, February 15, 2009
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